2011 Oscar predictions

  The award season come to an end tomorrow night at 8 p.m. ET on ABC when the Academy of Motion Picture & Science present the 83rd annual Academy Awards, where the famous faces of the film industry comes out and to find out who will become the new recipients of the little golden man known as Oscar. If you are here looking for the most accurate predictions for Oscar night, look no further then my choices on who will go on to win the Academy Award in the six main categories and who should have won. First things first, let me get my predictions for the rest of the categories out of the way.

Animated Feature: Toy Story 3

Art Direction: Alice in Wonderland

Cinematography: True Grit

Costume Design: The King’s Speech

Documentary Feature: Inside Job

Documentary Short: Strangers No More

Foreign Langauge: In a Better World

Makeup: The Wolfman

Original Score:  The Social Network

Original Song: “We Belong Together”-Toy Story 3

Short Film Animated-The Gruffalo

Short Film Live Action-Wish 143

Sound Editing: Inception

Sound Mixing: Inception

Visual Effects: Inceptiom

Adapted Screenplay: The Social Network

Original Screenplay: The King’s Speech

Best Director

Darren Aronofsky-Black Swan

Joel and Ethan Coen-True Grit

David Fincher-The Social Network

Tom Hooper-The King’s Speech

David O. Russell-The Fighter

  All of these directors deserve their nomination for the work they did. The only thing that makes me mad about this category is that Christopher Nolan was snubbed by the Academy once again for his latest film, Inception. In this category, it looks like David Fincher will win his first Oscar over the current front runner, Tom Hooper. Hooper directed a great film in The King’s Speech, but it was nothing compared to Fincher’s meticulous, detail-oriented and superb direction. For the last five years, the directors who won the DGA (as Hooper did) have gone on to win Best Director Oscar. I think this could be the first year that could break the streak since Roman Polanski won the Oscar in 2002 for The Pianist (Chicago won Best Picture that year).

WHO WILL/SHOULD WIN: David Fincher

Best Supporting Actress

Amy Adams-The Fighter

Helena Bonham Carter-The King’s Speech

Melissa Leo-The Fighter

Hailee Steinfeld-True Grit

Jacki Weaver-Animal Kingdom

Melissa Leo is the front runner in this category for The Fighter, but I would say that this category will be the upset of the night as Hailee Steinfeld will get the Oscar after years of middle-aged actresses winning in this category. The only problem I have with Steinfeld in the category is that the Academy nominated her in the wrong category. She truly deserved and should have been nominated in the Best Actress category because she is the true lead actress in True Grit as the story is told from the perspective of her character and she is in all of the scenes in the movie.

WHO WILL/SHOULD WIN: Hailee Steinfeld

Best Supporting Actor

Christian Bale-The Fighter

John Hawkes-Winter’s Bone

Jeremy Renner-The Town

Mark Ruffalo-The Kids Are All Right

Geoffrey Rush-The King’s Speech

At the beginning at the award season, it was said that this category would pit Geoffrey Rush (The King’s Speech) against Christian Bale (The Fighter), and things have been going on the side of Bale when he won all the major awards. Both actors deliver tremendous performances, but Academy members are suckers for the more obvious/transformational performances, so Bale wins.

WHO WILL/SHOULD WIN: Christian Bale

Best Leading Actress

Annette Bening-The Kids Are All Right

Nicole Kidman-Rabbit Hole

Jennifer Lawrence-Winter’s Bone

Natalie Portman-Black Swan

Michelle Williams-Blue Valentine

Even though Annette Benning delivered an equally impressive performance in The Kids Are All Right, Natalie Portman’s performance as the ballerina on the brink of a mental breakdown in Black Swan will get her first Oscar win in her second Oscar nomination. Not only is her performance is amazing, but Portman’s commitment to this role to truly outstanding. She lost 20 pounds, paid to be trainer for a year as a dancer, suffered a twisted rib injury and sustained a bad concussion and she did not quit and/or back down from her role. Now that is dedication.

WHO WILL/SHOULD WIN: Natalie Portman

    

Best Leading Actor

Javier Bardem-Biutiful

Jeff Bridges-True Grit

Jesse Eisenberg-The Social Network

Colin Firth-The King’s Speech

James Franco-127 Hours

It is a no-brainer to pick Colin Firth from The King’s Speech to win the Best Actor. He really delivered one of the best performances of 2010 as King George VI. From the first scene to the last, you can’t help but to cheer for him to overcome his stammer and truly become the leader he was meant to be. There is no chance anybody in this category will pull any kind of upset.

WHO WILL/SHOULD WIN: Colin Firth

Best Film

127 Hours

Black Swan

The Fighter

Inception

The Kids Are All Right

The King’s Speech

The Social Network

Toy Story 3

True Grit

Winter’s Bone

In this category, it is The King’s Speech vs. The Social Network. David Fincher’s latest film got momentum in December/January when it started picking up Best Picture awards from critics all over the country, including the Critics Choice and Golden Globe awards. However, The King’s Speech has won the PGA for Best Picture and the SAG Best Ensemble. I really want The Social Network to win, but it looks like the Academy will go with the safer bet in The King’s Speech.

WHO WILL WIN: The King’s Speech

WHO SHOULD WIN: The Social Network

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